{"id":64505,"date":"2026-04-07T20:55:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T02:55:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elpapelerito.com.mx\/?p=64505"},"modified":"2026-04-07T21:04:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T03:04:01","slug":"al-prian-no-lo-derrotaria-morena-en-chihuahua-en-2027-se-estan-derrotando-solos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elpapelerito.com.mx\/?p=64505","title":{"rendered":"Al PRIAN no lo derrotar\u00eda Morena en Chihuahua en 2027: \u00a1se est\u00e1n derrotando solos!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

La m\u00e1s reciente encuesta de Massive Caller pone sobre la mesa un escenario que, aunque no sorprende, s\u00ed deja varias lecturas inc\u00f3modas<\/em><\/strong> para m\u00e1s de uno rumbo al 2027 en Chihuahua. Morena, junto con PT y Verde, aparece con el 38.3 por ciento de las preferencias, mientras que el PAN alcanza el 31.6 y el PRI se queda bastante rezagado con apenas 13.8. Traducido a t\u00e9rminos pr\u00e1cticos: hoy, si cada quien compite por su lado, la elecci\u00f3n ya tiene due\u00f1o. Y no es precisamente la oposici\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aqu\u00ed es donde entra el \u00fanico camino realista para quienes no est\u00e1n en Morena: la alianza.<\/em><\/strong> Porque si se suman PAN y PRI, el bloque alcanzar\u00eda 45.4 por ciento, suficiente \u2014al menos en n\u00fameros\u2014 para competirle de frente a la 4T. Pero el problema no es aritm\u00e9tico, es pol\u00edtico. Las resistencias internas, los egos y las facturas pendientes siguen pesando m\u00e1s que la urgencia de construir un proyecto competitivo. Y mientras eso no se resuelva, Morena seguir\u00e1 jugando con ventaja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En ese mismo tablero hay un dato que parece menor, pero no lo es: Movimiento Ciudadano <\/em><\/strong>apenas alcanza 3.5 por ciento, incluso por debajo de la figura independiente que, con Juli\u00e1n LeBar\u00f3n como \u00fanica referencia, marca 4.7. Es decir, hoy MC no solo est\u00e1 lejos de ser opci\u00f3n real de gobierno, sino que hasta un perfil ciudadano sin estructura partidista lo supera. Sin embargo, ese porcentaje \u201cchiquito\u201d podr\u00eda terminar siendo decisivo. Si se suma a Morena, ampl\u00eda la ventaja; si se inclina hacia una eventual alianza opositora, puede cerrar la brecha. El problema para MC es que, por ahora, ni crece ni define con claridad hacia d\u00f3nde jugar\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Seg\u00fan Massive Caller, as\u00ed est\u00e1n las preferencias de voto al d\u00eda de hoy para la gubernatura de Chihuahua en<\/strong><\/em> 2027<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

En cuanto a los nombres, tambi\u00e9n hay se\u00f1ales claras. En el PAN, Marco Bonilla<\/em><\/strong> encabeza con amplio margen (48.1), muy por encima de Gilberto Loya (20.3), lo que lo coloca como el perfil m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido del panismo, al menos en este momento. En el PRI, Tony Mel\u00e9ndez lidera con 40.7, pero hay que decirlo: liderar en un partido que apenas tiene 13.8 por ciento no es precisamente una posici\u00f3n c\u00f3moda. Alejandro Dom\u00ednguez y Omar Baz\u00e1n aparecen m\u00e1s atr\u00e1s, reflejando un tricolor que sigue sin encontrar una figura realmente competitiva a nivel estatal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Del lado de Morena, Andrea Ch\u00e1vez con 47.5 y Cruz P\u00e9rez Cu\u00e9llar con 23.5 por ciento, marcan la<\/em><\/strong> pauta, aunque aqu\u00ed hay un matiz interesante: la encuesta tambi\u00e9n mide percepci\u00f3n y ah\u00ed las cosas se equilibran m\u00e1s. Andrea tiene 43.7 de opini\u00f3n buena contra 28.6 mala, mientras que Cruz presenta n\u00fameros m\u00e1s cerrados: 32.6 buena contra 30.3 mala. Es decir, Morena tiene ventaja en intenci\u00f3n, pero no necesariamente en consenso total, lo que abre una peque\u00f1a ventana para la oposici\u00f3n\u2026 si sabe aprovecharla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y luego est\u00e1 el caso de Alfredo Lozoya en Movimiento Ciudadano, que con 37.3 dentro de su partido<\/em><\/strong> sigue siendo su figura m\u00e1s visible, aunque eso no se traduzca \u2014al menos hoy\u2014 en competitividad real en la elecci\u00f3n estatal. Porque una cosa es liderar en tu partido y otra muy distinta competir contra estructuras mucho m\u00e1s grandes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al final del d\u00eda, la encuesta confirma algo que ya se intu\u00eda: la elecci\u00f3n del 2027 no se va a definir solo por qui\u00e9n tenga m\u00e1s votos hoy, sino por qui\u00e9n sepa construir alianzas ma\u00f1ana.<\/em><\/strong> Morena arranca arriba, s\u00ed, pero tampoco es invencible. El PAN tiene con qu\u00e9 dar pelea, el PRI tiene que decidir si quiere competir o solo acompa\u00f1ar, y MC sigue en ese papel inc\u00f3modo de partido \u201cbisagra\u201d que no crece, pero tampoco estorba\u2026 hasta que decide hacia d\u00f3nde inclinarse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El dato m\u00e1s peligroso para todos, quiz\u00e1, es ese 8.1 por ciento que a\u00fan no decide. <\/em><\/strong>Porque ah\u00ed es donde realmente se puede mover la elecci\u00f3n. Y en una contienda que, por ahora, parece definida en bloques, ese porcentaje puede terminar siendo el que incline la balanza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gr\u00e1ficas de Massive Caller:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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La m\u00e1s reciente encuesta de Massive Caller pone sobre la mesa un escenario que, aunque no sorprende, s\u00ed deja varias lecturas inc\u00f3modas para m\u00e1s de uno rumbo al 2027 en Chihuahua. Morena, junto con PT y Verde, aparece con el 38.3 por ciento de las preferencias, mientras que el PAN alcanza el 31.6 y el […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":64504,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[66],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-todas-las-voces"],"yoast_head":"\nAl PRIAN no lo derrotar\u00eda Morena en Chihuahua en 2027: \u00a1se est\u00e1n derrotando solos! - El Papelerito<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/elpapelerito.com.mx\/al-prian-no-lo-derrotaria-morena-en-chihuahua-en-2027-se-estan-derrotando-solos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Al PRIAN no lo derrotar\u00eda Morena en Chihuahua en 2027: \u00a1se est\u00e1n derrotando solos! - El Papelerito\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La m\u00e1s reciente encuesta de Massive Caller pone sobre la mesa un escenario que, aunque no sorprende, s\u00ed deja varias lecturas inc\u00f3modas para m\u00e1s de uno rumbo al 2027 en Chihuahua. 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